BC Covid Modelling: Open Source Software Hosted By GitHub (Microsoft’s People), Run By SFU/UBC Academics

Ever get the feeling that the Government in British Columbia just makes it up as they go along? Suspect that there really is no rational or scientific basis for anything that they do?

As for the term “Bayesian”, it refers to: being, relating to, or involving statistical methods that assign probabilities or distributions to events (such as rain tomorrow) or parameters (such as a population mean) based on experience or best guesses before experimentation and data collection and that apply Bayes’ theorem to revise the probabilities and distributions after obtaining experimental data. (From Merriam)

By itself, a Bayesian approach isn’t too bad. The problem is when garbage data and assumptions go in, the inevitable result is garbage outcomes.

Apart from BC Provincial Health Officer Bonnie Henry’s repeated admissions of there being no scientific basis, the BCCDC has also revealed that information. They really do just make it up, and no one in the mainstream press bothers to call out any of this.

And what about the modelling that Bonnie is referring to? Who’s cooking up the models that are being used to strip away the rights of Canadians?

Previously On BC Government Reporting…..

Thank you for your email of March 11, 2021. The Honourable Adrian Dix, Minister of Health has asked me to respond to your email regarding COVID-19 modelling. I am pleased to respond on his behalf. I apologies for the delayed response.

COVID-19 modelling in British Columbia (BC) is undertaken by the BC Centre for Disease Control (BCCDC). BCCDC projections for COVID-19 are done using a dynamic compartmental model fit to reported case data using a Bayesian Framework:
• Published model: Anderson et al. 2020. PLoS Comp. Biol. 16(12) e1008274 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008274
• Publicly available software: https://github.com/seananderson/covidseir
• Model enhancements incorporating vaccination and variants of concern (VoC) are currently being prepared for publication

The BCCDC generates provincial and regional model fits to current data and projected numbers of new cases, hospitalizations, and deaths; and provincial and regional time-varying estimates of average daily transmission rate (Rt). Projections incorporate the current BC vaccination schedule and variable rates of contact and susceptibility by age. Vaccination is modeled using the current proposed one dose schedule by age group, with all eligible age groups vaccinated by end of June 2021, adjusting for age-dependent impact on transmission. A 15 percent vaccine hesitancy is assumed for all age groups.

According to the results of a freedom of information request, BC’s “Covid modelling” comes from a group of academics, primarily from the University of British Columbia, and Simon Fraser University. They also use open-source software from GitHub, which can be freely accessed.

The BCCDC tacitly admitted there was no science behind any of the measures they implemented. Instead, they deflected as it being “a rational approach”. But how rational can it be when there’s no hard science to support it?

While the software seems to be hosted on GitHub, bought in 2018 by Microsoft, it’s unclear who actually developed it, since the specific program isn’t listed. In any event, GitHub is a forum where software can be given a platform.

Who Are The People Running GitHub?

Many of the people running GitHub have ties to Microsoft and Google. Not too shocking since the $7.5 billion acquisition. That is quite interesting indeed, considering their respective roles in the “pandemic”. Both companies are part of VCI, the Vaccine Credential Initiative, and Microsoft helped launch ID2020 back in 2016. Same company that wants to give everyone a digital ID is also pushing the doomsday modelling to help justify the measures.

What else is GitHub up to? Here are just a few of their recent projects:
-An app to track vaccination bookings
-A notification system for vaccination bookings
-A vaccine passport app
-More on a vaccine passport
-A contact tracing app for Switzerland
QR codes to prove vaccination status
QR decoder for Quebec contact tracing app

It’s interesting that the modelling software is open source. Just a theory, but perhaps it’s done in order to drive business to the more lucrative side projects.

Who Are The “Experts” Doing The Modelling?

  • Sean C. Anderson – Pacific Biological Station, Fisheries and Oceans Canada
  • Andrew M. Edwards – Department of Biology, University of Victoria
  • Madi Yerlanov – Department of Mathematics, Simon Fraser University
  • Nicola Mulberry – Department of Mathematics, Simon Fraser University
  • Jessica E. Stockdale – Department of Mathematics, Simon Fraser University
  • Sarafa A. Iyaniwura – BCCDC, Department of Mathematics, University of British Columbia
  • Rebeca C. Falcao – BCCDC, Department of Mathematics, University of British Columbia
  • Michael C. Otterstatter – BCCDC, School of Public Health, University of British Columbia
  • Michael A. Irvine – British Columbia Children’s Hospital Research Institute
  • Naveed Z. Janjua – BCCDC, School of Public Health, University of British Columbia
  • Daniel Coombs – Department of Mathematics, University of British Columbia
  • Caroline Colijn – Department of Mathematics, Simon Fraser University

In the link provided in the FOI response, these are the people involved in conducting the computer modelling. University professors. People who spend their lives in institutions (and not the real world), produce predictions that the Government uses to justify medical tyranny.

And what do they use? Open source software hosted by a company owned by Microsoft and with Google associates. Hard data is lacking, and is replaced by assumptions.

(1) https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/Bayesian
(2) https://github.com
(3) https://github.com/about/leadership
(4) https://www.linkedin.com/in/natfriedman/
(5) https://archive.is/bqaEE
(6) https://www.linkedin.com/in/erica-anderson-54b5878/
(7) https://archive.is/XoBay
(8) https://www.linkedin.com/in/keithba/
(9) https://archive.is/yvcHx
(10) https://www.linkedin.com/in/dawnbeatty/
(11) https://archive.is/DQZyD
(12) https://www.linkedin.com/in/ebrescia/
(13) https://archive.is/m8WxT
(14) https://www.linkedin.com/in/thomas-dohmke-24855b10/
(15) https://archive.is/H97o2
(16) https://www.linkedin.com/in/tylerfuller/
(17) https://archive.is/nrmYN
(18) https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-hanley-b6508913/
(19) https://archive.is/DPd5x
(20) https://www.linkedin.com/in/laura-heisman-comms/
(21) https://www.linkedin.com/in/shankuniyogi/
(22) https://archive.is/XSZqS
(23) https://www.linkedin.com/in/max-schoening/
(24) https://news.microsoft.com/2018/06/04/microsoft-to-acquire-github-for-7-5-billion/
(25) https://archive.is/debwV
(26) https://github.com/yashwanthm/cowin-vaccine-booking
(27) https://github.com/ayushi7rawat/CoWin-Vaccine-Notifier
(28) https://github.com/SwissCovid/swisscovid-app-android
(29) https://github.com/vax-me/vaccine-passport-app
(30) https://github.com/vaccine-passport/docs
(31) https://github.com/minvws/nl-covid19-testvac-qr-core
(32) https://github.com/fproulx/shc-covid19-decoder
(33) https://canucklaw.ca/cv-37j-bccdc-admits-no-science-behind-restricting-peoples-freedoms-just-models-assumptions/
(34) https://id2020.org/

One Reply to “BC Covid Modelling: Open Source Software Hosted By GitHub (Microsoft’s People), Run By SFU/UBC Academics”

  1. “mainstream press” I’d like to know more about our mainstream press. I’d call it corporate press, but whatever. For example, I find it useful to be able to tell people that all the tv networks in the US is pharma-funded, which Del Bigtree tells us. There’s a great article (establishment but still informative) by Tim Schwab that looks at how much media is funded by the B&MG Foundation. It’s a lot. James Corbett’s series on Bill Gates looks at that subject as well. I do have copies of Yves Engler’s two volume book on propaganda and probably should review that. I seem to recall that our corporate media is very funded, and watched, by our military.

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